EIF 4-1 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 26 Sep 2025

EIF
4-1 HT 2-1
KaPa
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Finland - Ykkönen – 2025

EIF vs KaPa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.33
No
40%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.84
2-3 Goals
37%
2.16
4-5 Goals
25%
2.33
6+ Goals
15%
4.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
71%
-11.5pp
40%
BTTS No
29%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

EIF v KaPa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.37/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.95/1.29
-13% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
376 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

EIF vs KaPa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
4W-0D-0L
AWAY KaPa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
14.06.2025 KaPa KaPa 1-3 HT 0-2 EIF EIF FİN2
23.04.2025 EIF EIF 4-2 HT 1-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.08.2023 EIF EIF 2-1 HT 2-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
04.06.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 1-2 EIF EIF FİN2

EIF 4-1 KaPa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
4-1
AWAY KaPa
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH EIF vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EIF cruised past KaPa 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and on the day EIF made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, EIF had 49% of the ball to KaPa's 51%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, EIF had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for EIF and 1.50 for KaPa.

What was the final score of EIF vs KaPa?

EIF 4-1 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a EIF win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split EIF 40%, draw 25%, KaPa 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EIF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EIF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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