Derby County U21 0-1 Arsenal U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 26 Sep 2025

Derby County U21
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Arsenal U21
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
INGPL2 – 2025/2026

Derby County U21 vs Arsenal U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.17
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
58%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
65%
1.4
No
35%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
2%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Derby County U21 v Arsenal U21 — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Derby County U21 The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U21 The Market 56%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.14 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.33
1.85 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
Bad Attack Strength Great
Great Defense Strength Weak
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1

Derby County U21 vs Arsenal U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derby County U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Arsenal U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
249 Passes 423
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2025 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 2-2 HT 0-1 Derby County U21 Derby County U21 INGPL2

Derby County U21 0-1 Arsenal U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derby County U21
0 - 1
AWAY Arsenal U21
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
310 Passes 253
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Derby County U21 vs Arsenal U21
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Arsenal U21 came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Derby County U21 1-0 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Arsenal U21 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (65%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Derby County U21 had 54% of the ball to Arsenal U21's 46%, shots finished 6-9.

Derby County U21 vs Arsenal U21 Result & Final Score

Derby County U21 0 - 1 Arsenal U21 in the INGPL2 on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Derby County U21 vs Arsenal U21 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Derby County U21 23%, draw 19%, Arsenal U21 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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