Banga Gargzdai 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
1.15/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-5% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
19.06.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
16.04.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
22.09.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
06.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
19.05.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai nicked a narrow win over Banga Gargzdai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dziugas Telsiai as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 56% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 44%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banga Gargzdai had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 0.33 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Banga Gargzdai 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dziugas Telsiai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 30%, draw 27%, Dziugas Telsiai 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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