Warta Poznan 3-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.73
No
41%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
54%
+4.9pp
41%
BTTS No
46%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 37%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.60
-31% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2025 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 0-0 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
10.08.2024 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-0 HT 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
3-1
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan got the better of Stal Stalowa Wola 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Warta Poznan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 46% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 54%, shots finished 19-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Warta Poznan and 0.00 for Stal Stalowa Wola.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Warta Poznan 3-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 2nd Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 36%, draw 26%, Stal Stalowa Wola 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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