Warta Poznan 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.75
Over 2.5
54%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
17.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.93 — our 25% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
1-0
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warta Poznan edged past Stal Stalowa Wola 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Warta Poznan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 41% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 59%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Warta Poznan 1-0 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 42%, draw 25%, Stal Stalowa Wola 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warta Poznan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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