Gornik Leczna 3-1 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.4pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Leczna EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.33/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.72
-7% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +90%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Leczna
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
12.05.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 0-2 HT 0-1 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna POL1
11.11.2023 Gornik Leczna Gornik Leczna 0-0 HT 0-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Leczna
3-1
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Gornik Leczna vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Leczna got the better of Polonia Warszawa 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gornik Leczna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gornik Leczna had 47% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 53%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gornik Leczna had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gornik Leczna and 0.00 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Gornik Leczna vs Polonia Warszawa?

Gornik Leczna 3-1 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Leczna vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Leczna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gornik Leczna 39%, draw 25%, Polonia Warszawa 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Leczna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Leczna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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