Miedz Legnica 1-0 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.7
No
41%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
6+ Goals
12%
13.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-6.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+6.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
55%
+4.3pp
41%
BTTS No
45%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.87/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.18
+26% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Lodzki KS
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2022 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 0-1 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
11.09.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-2 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
29.05.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 3-0 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
01.12.2020 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 3-4 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
1-0
AWAY Lodzki KS
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica squeezed past Lodzki KS 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Miedz Legnica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 45% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 55%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Miedz Legnica and 1.25 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Lodzki KS?

Miedz Legnica 1-0 Lodzki KS in the Poland - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 42%, draw 28%, Lodzki KS 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Miedz Legnica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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