Hermannstadt 0-1 FC Arges — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.33
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.58
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hermannstadt EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Arges EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.72/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.99
+10% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
23.3 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hermannstadt
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Arges
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.00 xG 0.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.04.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 2-1 HT 2-0 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
04.02.2023 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
05.09.2022 FC Arges FC Arges 0-1 HT 0-0 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
19.05.2021 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
03.04.2021 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt 4-1 HT 1-1 FC Arges FC Arges ROM
16.12.2020 FC Arges FC Arges 2-2 HT 0-1 Hermannstadt Hermannstadt ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hermannstadt
0-1
AWAY FC Arges
1.37 xG 0.67
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 0
454 Passes 191
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 4
31 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hermannstadt vs FC Arges
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Arges nicked a narrow win over Hermannstadt 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day FC Arges made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Hermannstadt had 67% of the ball to FC Arges's 33%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.37 to 0.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hermannstadt.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hermannstadt had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hermannstadt and 0.83 for FC Arges.

What was the final score of Hermannstadt vs FC Arges?

Hermannstadt 0-1 FC Arges in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hermannstadt vs FC Arges?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hermannstadt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hermannstadt 40%, draw 31%, FC Arges 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hermannstadt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hermannstadt) ✓ Under 2.5
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