Universitatea Craiova 2-2 Dinamo Bucarest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
24%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +14%
1.80/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.96
+8% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 70%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.3 Crosses 12.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitatea Craiova
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.06 xG 0.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2025 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 0-2 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
19.01.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest ROM
24.08.2024 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 2-1 HT 2-1 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
12.11.2023 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 1-0 HT 1-0 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest ROM
17.07.2023 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 0-2 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
10.02.2022 Dinamo Bucarest Dinamo Bucarest 1-6 HT 0-2 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
2-2
AWAY Dinamo Bucarest
1.38 xG 2.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
299 Passes 420
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs Dinamo Bucarest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova and Dinamo Bucarest shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Universitatea Craiova at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 42% of the ball to Dinamo Bucarest's 58%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.38 to 2.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitatea Craiova had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Universitatea Craiova and 0.67 for Dinamo Bucarest.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs Dinamo Bucarest?

Universitatea Craiova 2-2 Dinamo Bucarest in the Romania - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs Dinamo Bucarest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitatea Craiova win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 46%, draw 27%, Dinamo Bucarest 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Universitatea Craiova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ROM More Romania - 1st Division
26 Sep 2025
18:00 Hermannstadt vs FC Arges Analysis →