Radnik Surdulica 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 26 Sep 2025

📅26/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -17%
1.24/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.45
-29% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
19.0 Crosses 20.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
0W-1D-2L
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.17 xG 2.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
284 Passes 301
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 5-2 HT 3-2 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
16.03.2024 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-1 HT 0-0 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd SIRP
06.10.2023 IMT Novi Beograd IMT Novi Beograd 1-1 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
2-0
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd
2.07 xG 0.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
214 Passes 238
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Surdulica beat IMT Novi Beograd 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radnik Surdulica as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 48% of the ball to IMT Novi Beograd's 52%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.07 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, IMT Novi Beograd led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 2.33 for IMT Novi Beograd.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Radnik Surdulica 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd in the Serbia - Super League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs IMT Novi Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 45%, draw 25%, IMT Novi Beograd 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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