Macclesfield 7-1 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
5.29
2-3 Goals
45%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.69
6+ Goals
8%
6.72
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.29 — our 23% vs market 14.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-14.4pp
27%
Draw
20%
+6.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Ashton United
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
26.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 0-2 HT 0-2 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Macclesfield Macclesfield 5-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macclesfield
7-1
AWAY Ashton United
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 6
14 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Macclesfield swept aside Ashton United 7-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Macclesfield as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Macclesfield had 55% of the ball to Ashton United's 45%, shots finished 24-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Macclesfield had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Macclesfield and 0.00 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Ashton United?

Macclesfield 7-1 Ashton United in the England - FA Cup on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 49%, draw 27%, Ashton United 24%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macclesfield), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ Over 2.5
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