Real Zaragoza vs CD Castellon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Zaragoza v CD Castellon — Team-Based Signals
Real Zaragoza vs CD Castellon Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Real Zaragoza
İS2
1-1
HT 0-1
Real Zaragoza
İS2
1-1
HT 1-1
CD Castellon
İS2
Real Zaragoza 1-2 CD Castellon — Actual Match Statistics
CD Castellon squeezed past Real Zaragoza 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Real Zaragoza had 41% of the ball to CD Castellon's 59%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.20 to 1.35.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.75 for CD Castellon.
What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs CD Castellon?
Real Zaragoza 1-2 CD Castellon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs CD Castellon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 41%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Zaragoza), Under 2.5 went the other way.