Mirandes 3-1 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.36
Over 2.5
51%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.6
No
51%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
1.88
2-3 Goals
34%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
7.42
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.58
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.0
X/1
18%
3.75
X/2
7%
9.05
X/X
10%
3.22
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
7%
8.75
2/X
9%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
19%
Away Win
19%
-0.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
70%
-20.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
30%
+20.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.5pp
51%
BTTS No
66%
-14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.62/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.57
+32% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
16.1 Crosses 17.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cartagena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.10
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 Passes 350
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2024 Cartagena Cartagena 1-0 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
29.10.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
09.04.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
21.11.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
12.03.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
19.12.2021 Cartagena Cartagena 3-0 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
3-1
AWAY Cartagena
1.79 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 437
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes saw off Cartagena 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mirandes as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mirandes had 49% of the ball to Cartagena's 51%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.79 to 0.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mirandes and 1.33 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Cartagena?

Mirandes 3-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirandes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 53%, draw 28%, Cartagena 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirandes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirandes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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