Cartagena 1-0 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
5.37
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.22
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.53
X/2
11%
6.44
X/X
13%
3.49
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
18%
5.31
2/X
6%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
1.43/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.26
+20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
23.1 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Mirandes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.11 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
377 Passes 308
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
09.04.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
21.11.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 0-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
12.03.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
19.12.2021 Cartagena Cartagena 3-0 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
25.01.2021 Cartagena Cartagena 0-2 HT 0-2 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
1-0
AWAY Mirandes
0.55 xG 0.98
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
178 Passes 390
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 38
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena nicked a narrow win over Mirandes 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Cartagena made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Cartagena had 36% of the ball to Mirandes's 64%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.55 to 0.98 — the balance of chances actually favoured Mirandes.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cartagena and 1.33 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Mirandes?

Cartagena 1-0 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cartagena win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 37%, draw 28%, Mirandes 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cartagena), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cartagena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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