Eibar 1-0 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.81
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.78
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.3
X/1
18%
3.96
X/2
7%
7.37
X/X
15%
3.55
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
10%
6.59
2/X
10%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eibar EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.36/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.12
+22% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.7 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eibar
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 2-3 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
21.04.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
03.10.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
30.04.2022 Eibar Eibar 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
06.12.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
12.08.2017 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-2 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eibar
1-0
AWAY Real Zaragoza
1.11 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
355 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Eibar vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eibar nicked a narrow win over Real Zaragoza 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Eibar as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Eibar had 49% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 51%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 1.11 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eibar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Eibar and 0.67 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Eibar vs Real Zaragoza?

Eibar 1-0 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eibar vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eibar win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Eibar 48%, draw 30%, Real Zaragoza 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eibar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eibar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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