Alcorcon 1-0 FC Andorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.91
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.44
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
10%
14.15
X/1
19%
5.52
X/2
12%
5.01
X/X
15%
3.33
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
11%
3.87
2/X
7%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.6pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
36%
-5.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.08/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.24
-24% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 78%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
20.3 Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Andorra
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.55 xG 2.02
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
206 Passes 450
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.10.2023 FC Andorra FC Andorra 2-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-0
AWAY FC Andorra
0.29 xG 0.62
26% Ball Possession 74%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
155 Passes 561
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs FC Andorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon nicked a narrow win over FC Andorra 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and on the day Alcorcon made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Alcorcon had 26% of the ball to FC Andorra's 74%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.29 to 0.62.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs FC Andorra?

Alcorcon 1-0 FC Andorra in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs FC Andorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 38%, draw 32%, FC Andorra 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alcorcon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
11 Feb 2024
16:00 Villarreal II vs Tenerife Analysis →
18:15 Cartagena vs Mirandes Analysis →
20:30 Eibar vs Real Zaragoza Analysis →
23:00 Burgos vs Racing Ferrol Analysis →