Burgos 2-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.2
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.51
6+ Goals
10%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.92
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
13%
4.19
X/2
7%
7.05
X/X
15%
3.54
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
17%
6.08
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 29%
+18% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.24/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.20
+14% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
17.9 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.80 xG 1.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
278 Passes 456
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
04.05.2014 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS3
15.12.2013 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
03.03.2002 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 3-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
14.10.2001 Burgos Burgos 2-4 HT 1-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
2-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.13 xG 1.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
225 Passes 428
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 31
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos got the better of Racing Ferrol 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Burgos had 38% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 62%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.13 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Racing Ferrol led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Burgos and 1.80 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Racing Ferrol?

Burgos 2-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Burgos 43%, draw 28%, Racing Ferrol 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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