Villarreal II 1-0 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 11 Feb 2024

📅11/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.58
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.28
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
13%
5.48
X/2
16%
5.18
X/X
14%
3.37
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
10%
3.95
2/X
10%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.1pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 38%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
1.54/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.93
+32% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
14.6 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Tenerife
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
286 Passes 409
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
01.04.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
10.12.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
23.04.2011 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
28.11.2010 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
1-0
AWAY Tenerife
0.44 xG 0.25
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
396 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II squeezed past Tenerife 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Villarreal II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Villarreal II had 56% of the ball to Tenerife's 44%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.44 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Villarreal II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villarreal II and 1.00 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Tenerife?

Villarreal II 1-0 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 11/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 37%, draw 32%, Tenerife 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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