Newells Old Boys 1-1 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

Newells Old Boys
1-1 HT 1-1
CA Sarmiento
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Newells Old Boys vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
36%
2.88
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.38
Over 2.5
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.94
2-3 Goals
34%
1.87
4-5 Goals
15%
6.99
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.68
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.85
X/1
10%
3.92
X/2
8%
8.58
X/X
20%
3.22
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
11%
8.03
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
36%
Draw
31%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newells Old Boys v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.18/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.35
-34% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 73%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
24.2 Crosses 18.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7

Newells Old Boys vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 0.72
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
328 Passes 184
76% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
31.03.2024 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-1 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
06.11.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
02.06.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
18.09.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
13.03.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
25.10.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-1 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ

Newells Old Boys 1-1 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
1-1
AWAY CA Sarmiento
0.97 xG 0.91
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
383 Passes 237
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs CA Sarmiento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys and CA Sarmiento couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 36% / 23% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 59% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 41%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.97 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Sarmiento led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Newells Old Boys and 1.00 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs CA Sarmiento?

Newells Old Boys 1-1 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 41%, draw 36%, CA Sarmiento 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Newells Old Boys), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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