CA Sarmiento 0-1 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
15%
7.51
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.93
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.1
X/1
22%
5.59
X/2
11%
4.66
X/X
19%
3.16
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.85
2/X
5%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.4pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.8pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.14/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.03
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.6 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CA Sarmiento
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.72 xG 0.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
196 Passes 344
63% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
02.06.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 0-0 HT 0-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
18.09.2022 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-1 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
13.03.2022 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
25.10.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-1 HT 1-0 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
10.05.2021 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 1-1 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CA Sarmiento
0-1
AWAY Newells Old Boys
0.75 xG 1.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
163 Passes 291
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CA Sarmiento vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newells Old Boys squeezed past CA Sarmiento 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Newells Old Boys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, CA Sarmiento had 40% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 60%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.75 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Sarmiento had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CA Sarmiento and 0.67 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of CA Sarmiento vs Newells Old Boys?

CA Sarmiento 0-1 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CA Sarmiento vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a CA Sarmiento win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CA Sarmiento 37%, draw 29%, Newells Old Boys 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CA Sarmiento) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CA Sarmiento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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