Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.49
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
15%
3.88
X/2
7%
8.46
X/X
15%
4.0
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
12%
7.37
2/X
5%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.1pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia La Plata EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 23%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.59/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.36
-8% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
23.8 Crosses 14.2
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnasia La Plata
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.20 xG 0.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
399 Passes 161
77% Pass Accuracy 58%
24 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimnasia La Plata vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia La Plata squeezed past Deportivo Riestra 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnasia La Plata as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnasia La Plata had 65% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 35%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.20 to 0.27.

What was the final score of Gimnasia La Plata vs Deportivo Riestra?

Gimnasia La Plata 2-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia La Plata vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia La Plata win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia La Plata 50%, draw 26%, Deportivo Riestra 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia La Plata) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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