Talleres Cordoba 1-0 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 29.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.58
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
18%
4.16
X/2
8%
7.91
X/X
13%
4.29
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
10%
6.38
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talleres Cordoba EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.58/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.16
-7% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
18.0 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talleres Cordoba
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
240 Passes 257
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-1 HT 1-1 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
06.03.2023 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 1-2 HT 0-2 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
13.10.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-1 HT 0-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba ARJ
11.08.2022 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield LKU
04.08.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-2 HT 1-0 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba LKU
20.11.2021 Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba 1-1 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Talleres Cordoba
1-0
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.80 xG 0.72
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
247 Passes 331
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talleres Cordoba nicked a narrow win over Velez Sarsfield 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Talleres Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Talleres Cordoba had 43% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 57%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 0.80 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Talleres Cordoba and 1.67 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

Talleres Cordoba 1-0 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talleres Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talleres Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Talleres Cordoba 49%, draw 25%, Velez Sarsfield 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talleres Cordoba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Talleres Cordoba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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