Hartberg 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 26 Oct 2024

Hartberg
2-1 HT 1-0
Blau-Weiss Linz
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
10%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.57
X/2
13%
7.0
X/X
13%
4.78
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
14%
5.08
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v Blau-Weiss Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.46/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.24
-5% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
19.1 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.52 xG 1.52
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 Passes 264
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 3-2 HT 1-2 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
06.08.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 3-3 HT 1-2 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
02.11.2021 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-3 HT 0-3 Hartberg Hartberg AUK
11.05.2018 Hartberg Hartberg 2-2 HT 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
16.03.2018 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-3 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AU2
20.10.2017 Hartberg Hartberg 2-0 HT 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2

Hartberg 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
2-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.40 xG 0.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 9
271 Passes 323
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg nicked a narrow win over Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Hartberg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hartberg had 47% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 53%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.40 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartberg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Hartberg and 1.67 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Hartberg 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 39%, draw 27%, Blau-Weiss Linz 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hartberg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hartberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2024
18:00 Rheindorf Altach vs Austria Klagenfurt Analysis →
18:00 Austria Wien vs Swarovski Tirol Analysis →