Austria Wien 3-0 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.0
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
19%
3.96
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
8%
6.09
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
11%
7.61
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-6.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
2.00/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.82
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.0 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.89 xG 1.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
365 Passes 254
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
20.04.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
10.03.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
22.10.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
06.11.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
13.08.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
3-0
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.38 xG 0.66
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
275 Passes 415
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien ran out comfortable winners over Swarovski Tirol 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Austria Wien had 42% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 58%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.38 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austria Wien and 0.33 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Swarovski Tirol?

Austria Wien 3-0 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 52%, draw 22%, Swarovski Tirol 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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