Swarovski Tirol 1-0 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 28% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.23
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
9%
7.07
X/2
22%
4.58
X/X
5%
4.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.83
2/X
11%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.3pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.0pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 49%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.29/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.20
+64% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
271 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
16.3 Crosses 21.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Austria Wien
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
274 Passes 325
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 2-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
10.03.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
22.10.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
06.11.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
13.08.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
31.10.2021 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1-0
AWAY Austria Wien
2.04 xG 0.74
30% Ball Possession 70%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
161 Passes 557
58% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol edged past Austria Wien 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Wien at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 30% of the ball to Austria Wien's 70%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.04 to 0.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Swarovski Tirol's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 1.67 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Wien?

Swarovski Tirol 1-0 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 28%, draw 22%, Austria Wien 50%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Austria Wien) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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