Austria Lustenau 1-2 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Apr 2024

Austria Lustenau
1-2 HT 0-0
Wolfsberger AC
📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.96
No
65%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.65
6+ Goals
6%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.54 — our 39% vs market 33.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.66
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
9%
14.6
X/1
9%
7.04
X/2
21%
4.33
X/X
10%
4.1
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.86
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
47%
-12.0pp
65%
BTTS No
53%
+11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Lustenau v Wolfsberger AC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.23/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.12
+33% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
14.2 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.08 xG 1.79
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
293 Passes 394
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.04.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 1-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
11.11.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-3 HT 0-1 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
12.08.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
05.06.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
13.05.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 2-2 HT 2-2 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
15.04.2023 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 1-3 HT 1-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU

Austria Lustenau 1-2 Wolfsberger AC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Lustenau
1-2
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.70 xG 0.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
237 Passes 270
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 12
40 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC squeezed past Austria Lustenau 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wolfsberger AC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Lustenau had 50% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 50%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.81 — on chances, Austria Lustenau could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wolfsberger AC led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.83 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC?

Austria Lustenau 1-2 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsberger AC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 31%, draw 25%, Wolfsberger AC 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsberger AC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2024
19:30 Swarovski Tirol vs Austria Wien Analysis →
21:30 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Rheindorf Altach Analysis →