Austria Wien 2-0 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 27% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.85
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.75
X/1
20%
3.7
X/2
6%
12.35
X/X
12%
5.98
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
9%
9.6
2/X
7%
17.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.3pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
2.11/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.13
+12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
375 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.1 Crosses 15.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.86 xG 1.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
297 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
06.11.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
13.08.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
31.10.2021 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
01.08.2021 Austria Wien Austria Wien 1-1 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
31.01.2021 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-2 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
2-0
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.11 xG 1.48
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
286 Passes 199
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
31 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien beat Swarovski Tirol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Austria Wien had 56% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 44%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.11 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austria Wien and 0.83 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Swarovski Tirol?

Austria Wien 2-0 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 54%, draw 26%, Swarovski Tirol 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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