Austria Lustenau 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2024

Austria Lustenau
2-0 HT 0-0
Blau-Weiss Linz
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.96
No
63%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.56
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.6
6+ Goals
6%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 41% vs market 32.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.58
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
9%
14.9
X/1
14%
6.84
X/2
18%
4.29
X/X
9%
4.08
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.91
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+11.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
47%
-10.2pp
63%
BTTS No
53%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Lustenau v Blau-Weiss Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+31% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.9 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.16 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
257 Passes 309
65% Pass Accuracy 68%
6 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
30.04.2022 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
22.10.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
05.03.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-2 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
20.09.2020 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 5-2 HT 4-1 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
23.06.2020 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2

Austria Lustenau 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Lustenau
2-0
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.28 xG 1.06
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
216 Passes 369
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau got the better of Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Austria Lustenau found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Austria Lustenau had 41% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 59%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.28 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blau-Weiss Linz led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Austria Lustenau and 1.83 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Austria Lustenau 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Lustenau win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 38%, draw 25%, Blau-Weiss Linz 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Lustenau), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Lustenau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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