Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.29
Draw
21%
2.77
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.75
Over 2.5
56%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
28%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.15
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
4%
11.1
X/1
15%
7.5
X/2 EV+ ✗
25%
5.43
X/X
8%
3.74
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.16
2/X
8%
10.6
Value flag · X/2 at 5.43 — our 25% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
27%
+9.0pp
21%
Draw
33%
-12.0pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
53%
-8.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
47%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.31/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.99
-11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
300 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
17.5 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.71
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
249 Passes 388
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-3 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
03.06.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 2-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
09.04.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 3-1 HT 1-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
22.10.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
31.07.2022 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
27.04.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-2 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Klagenfurt
1-1
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.10 xG 0.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
303 Passes 463
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Klagenfurt and Rapid Wien shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rapid Wien at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austria Klagenfurt had 43% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 57%, shots finished 7-4, expected goals 1.10 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Klagenfurt had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austria Klagenfurt and 1.50 for Rapid Wien.

What was the final score of Austria Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien?

Austria Klagenfurt 1-1 Rapid Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Klagenfurt vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Austria Klagenfurt 36%, draw 21%, Rapid Wien 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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