Al Dhafra 2-1 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.68/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.04
+1% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -24%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
14.04.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
23.11.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-2 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Dhafra
2-1
AWAY Al Thaid
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Dhafra nicked a narrow win over Al Thaid 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Dhafra as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Dhafra had 53% of the ball to Al Thaid's 47%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Thaid led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Dhafra and 2.50 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Al Thaid?

Al Dhafra 2-1 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 48%, draw 26%, Al Thaid 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Dhafra), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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