Al Urooba 1-0 Baniyas SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Baniyas SC EU Bookmakers 51%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.05/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.24
-11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 80%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.2 Crosses 18.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Baniyas SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.50 xG 1.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
232 Passes 278
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.05.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-1 HT 0-0 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC BAE
20.11.2021 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE
06.12.2020 Baniyas SC Baniyas SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAECK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Urooba
1-0
AWAY Baniyas SC
1.15 xG 0.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
240 Passes 423
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Baniyas SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Urooba nicked a narrow win over Baniyas SC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Baniyas SC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Urooba had 40% of the ball to Baniyas SC's 60%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.15 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baniyas SC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Urooba and 1.67 for Baniyas SC.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Baniyas SC?

Al Urooba 1-0 Baniyas SC in the UAE - League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Baniyas SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Baniyas SC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 30%, draw 28%, Baniyas SC 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Baniyas SC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baniyas SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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