Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-2 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.09
2-3 Goals
40%
2.2
4-5 Goals
28%
2.45
6+ Goals
11%
4.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
63%
-14.4pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.8pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 21%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.64/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.71
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -19%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
17.9 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.00 xG 1.41
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
559 Passes 193
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-3 HT 1-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
28.10.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-2 HT 3-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
05.02.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-1 HT 0-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
09.09.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-4 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
17.05.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
25.12.2021 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-0 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
4-2
AWAY Khorfakkan
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi beat Khorfakkan 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Jazira Abu Dhabi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 58% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 42%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 2.00 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Khorfakkan?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 4-2 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 49%, draw 24%, Khorfakkan 27%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5
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