SV Zulte Waregem 2-2 Boussu Dour Borinage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.73
6+ Goals
9%
6.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 19%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.47/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.73
-40% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
25.8 Crosses 15.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.06 xG 1.32
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
14 Corners 5
366 Passes 186
80% Pass Accuracy 66%
39 Box Touches 24
34 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.02.2024 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 2-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
13.08.2023 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem 1-3 HT 0-2 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
2-2
AWAY Boussu Dour Borinage
1.48 xG 1.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
348 Passes 343
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs Boussu Dour Borinage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Zulte Waregem and Boussu Dour Borinage couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had SV Zulte Waregem at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 50% of the ball to Boussu Dour Borinage's 50%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.48 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Boussu Dour Borinage led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SV Zulte Waregem and 2.50 for Boussu Dour Borinage.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

SV Zulte Waregem 2-2 Boussu Dour Borinage in the Belgium - 1st Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs Boussu Dour Borinage?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 58%, draw 20%, Boussu Dour Borinage 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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