Sporting Charleroi 0-2 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 26 Oct 2024

Sporting Charleroi
0-2 HT 0-2
OH Leuven
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.74
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.26
6+ Goals
8%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.83
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.32
X/2
12%
7.01
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
5.58
2/X
8%
14.6
Value flag · X/1 at 4.32 — our 25% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Charleroi v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.68/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.45
-18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
20.1 Crosses 13.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0W-3D-3L
AWAY OH Leuven
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
357 Passes 386
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
29.07.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-1 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.03.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-1 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.09.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 3-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
27.12.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 0-3 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
08.08.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL

Sporting Charleroi 0-2 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
0-2
AWAY OH Leuven
0.95 xG 0.85
65% Ball Possession 35%
19 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
362 Passes 183
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven got the better of Sporting Charleroi 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Charleroi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 65% of the ball to OH Leuven's 35%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 0.95 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, OH Leuven led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.50 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Sporting Charleroi 0-2 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 46%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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