Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
53%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
3%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+6.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
53%
Away Win
64%
-10.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino EU Bookmakers 69%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.00/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.76
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +8%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.06.2024 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 4-2 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
07.05.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino BLR
21.06.2014 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 2-1 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR
28.02.2014 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 3-3 HT 2-0 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dnepr Mogilev
1-1
AWAY Torpedo Zhodino
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dnepr Mogilev vs Torpedo Zhodino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev and Torpedo Zhodino shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Torpedo Zhodino at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dnepr Mogilev had 30% of the ball to Torpedo Zhodino's 70%, shots finished 4-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Torpedo Zhodino led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dnepr Mogilev and 2.50 for Torpedo Zhodino.

What was the final score of Dnepr Mogilev vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Dnepr Mogilev 1-1 Torpedo Zhodino in the Belarus - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dnepr Mogilev vs Torpedo Zhodino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Zhodino win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dnepr Mogilev 21%, draw 26%, Torpedo Zhodino 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Zhodino) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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