Middelfart 1-1 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.58
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.60/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.29
+24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Fremad Amager
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-4 HT 0-3 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
28.03.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-3 HT 0-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
26.08.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-0 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN2
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middelfart and Fremad Amager shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Middelfart had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Middelfart and 0.33 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Fremad Amager?

Middelfart 1-1 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fremad Amager win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 36%, draw 24%, Fremad Amager 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fremad Amager), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fremad Amager) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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