Paris FC 2-1 Grenoble — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
1.9
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.32
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
23%
3.56
6+
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.32 — our 27% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.01
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.3
X/1
29%
3.7
X/2
8%
10.9
X/X
9%
5.27
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
10%
8.88
2/X
7%
17.15
Value flag · X/1 at 3.7 — our 29% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Paris FC win — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
59%
-4.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Grenoble EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.71/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.59
-9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.8 Crosses 13.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Grenoble
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 0.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
502 Passes 338
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
12.08.2023 Grenoble Grenoble 2-0 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
06.05.2023 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
10.09.2022 Grenoble Grenoble 1-2 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
14.05.2022 Paris FC Paris FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Grenoble Grenoble FR2
24.07.2021 Grenoble Grenoble 0-4 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
2-1
AWAY Grenoble
1.54 xG 0.49
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
456 Passes 339
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Grenoble
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris FC squeezed past Grenoble 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Paris FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Paris FC had 56% of the ball to Grenoble's 44%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.54 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Paris FC and 0.67 for Grenoble.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Grenoble?

Paris FC 2-1 Grenoble in the France - Ligue 2 on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Grenoble?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 55%, draw 22%, Grenoble 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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