Caen vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Caen v Troyes — Team-Based Signals
Caen vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Caen
FR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Caen
FR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Troyes
FR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Caen
FR2
Caen 0-1 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics
Troyes edged past Caen 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Caen at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
On the day, Caen had 65% of the ball to Troyes's 35%, shots finished 15-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Caen and 1.00 for Troyes.
What was the final score of Caen vs Troyes?
Caen 0-1 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Caen vs Troyes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Caen 45%, draw 27%, Troyes 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caen) went the other way.