Caen 0-0 Troyes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Jan 2024

Caen
0-0 HT 0-0
Troyes
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
France - Ligue 2 – 2023/2024

Caen vs Troyes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 35% vs market 28.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
16%
4.14
X/2
8%
7.79
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
16%
6.21
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Caen v Troyes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caen EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Troyes EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.27/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.57
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
20.7 Crosses 13.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Caen vs Troyes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Caen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Troyes
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
278 Passes 354
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
17.04.2021 Troyes Troyes 1-0 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
12.12.2020 Caen Caen 0-0 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
14.02.2020 Caen Caen 0-1 HT 0-0 Troyes Troyes FR2
13.09.2019 Troyes Troyes 2-1 HT 1-0 Caen Caen FR2
28.04.2018 Troyes Troyes 3-1 HT 2-1 Caen Caen FR1

Caen 0-0 Troyes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Caen
0-0
AWAY Troyes
2.08 xG 0.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
357 Passes 353
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Caen vs Troyes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Caen and Troyes played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Caen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Caen had 50% of the ball to Troyes's 50%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.08 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Troyes led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Caen and 1.50 for Troyes.

What was the final score of Caen vs Troyes?

Caen 0-0 Troyes in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caen vs Troyes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Caen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Caen 41%, draw 29%, Troyes 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Caen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Caen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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