Paris FC 1-2 Dunkerque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 31% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.45
X/1
19%
3.94
X/2
9%
9.33
X/X
14%
4.52
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.59
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dunkerque EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.76/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.57
-7% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.1 Crosses 15.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paris FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Dunkerque
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.54 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
377 Passes 302
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-3 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
28.01.2022 Dunkerque Dunkerque 1-1 HT 0-0 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
31.07.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
02.03.2021 Paris FC Paris FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR2
07.11.2020 Dunkerque Dunkerque 0-1 HT 0-1 Paris FC Paris FC FR2
20.02.2015 Paris FC Paris FC 2-1 HT 2-0 Dunkerque Dunkerque FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris FC
1-2
AWAY Dunkerque
2.16 xG 1.21
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
471 Passes 192
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paris FC vs Dunkerque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunkerque nicked a narrow win over Paris FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Paris FC at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paris FC had 67% of the ball to Dunkerque's 33%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 2.16 to 1.21 — on chances, Paris FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paris FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Paris FC and 0.67 for Dunkerque.

What was the final score of Paris FC vs Dunkerque?

Paris FC 1-2 Dunkerque in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris FC vs Dunkerque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris FC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Paris FC 47%, draw 27%, Dunkerque 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paris FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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