Ajaccio 1-0 Concarneau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 2, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.92
Draw
35%
2.88
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.33
Over 2.5
28%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.75
No
63%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
12%
8.57
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.84
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
18.05
X/1
16%
3.71
X/2
11%
7.74
X/X
19%
3.09
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
11%
7.66
2/X
10%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.6pp
35%
Draw
31%
+3.5pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
72%
+0.7pp
28%
Over 2.5
28%
-0.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.5pp
63%
BTTS No
68%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajaccio EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Concarneau EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.22/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.57
+6% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +65%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.8 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajaccio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Concarneau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.80 xG 0.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 5
392 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
28.10.2023 Concarneau Concarneau 2-1 HT 0-0 Ajaccio Ajaccio FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajaccio
1-0
AWAY Concarneau
0.73 xG 0.37
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 1
318 Passes 368
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Box Touches 13
7 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajaccio vs Concarneau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajaccio nicked a narrow win over Concarneau 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 35% / 27%) promised a tight game; Ajaccio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ajaccio had 47% of the ball to Concarneau's 53%, shots finished 8-7, expected goals 0.73 to 0.37.

What was the final score of Ajaccio vs Concarneau?

Ajaccio 1-0 Concarneau in the France - Ligue 2 on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajaccio vs Concarneau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajaccio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ajaccio 39%, draw 35%, Concarneau 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajaccio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajaccio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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