SuperSport United 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
5.99
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 39%
+17% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.31/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.99
+55% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.7 Crosses 20.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SuperSport United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.08
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
177 Passes 339
66% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-4 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFLK
27.04.2024 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
20.09.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
13.05.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
17.09.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 HT 1-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
16.04.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SuperSport United
1-0
AWAY Kaizer Chiefs
0.95 xG 0.72
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
160 Passes 405
65% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Kaizer Chiefs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United edged past Kaizer Chiefs 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day SuperSport United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, SuperSport United had 34% of the ball to Kaizer Chiefs's 66%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.95 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SuperSport United and 1.33 for Kaizer Chiefs.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Kaizer Chiefs?

SuperSport United 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs in the South Afrika - Premier League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Kaizer Chiefs?

Before kick-off our model rated a SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 36%, draw 31%, Kaizer Chiefs 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SuperSport United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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