Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
35%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.63
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.8pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaizer Chiefs EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 30%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.45/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.37
+10% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
20.8 Crosses 23.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SuperSport United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 Passes 206
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
13.05.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 1-0 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
17.09.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 HT 1-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
16.04.2022 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 0-1 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
20.02.2021 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
15.12.2020 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-1 HT 1-0 Kaizer Chiefs Kaizer Chiefs GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaizer Chiefs
2-1
AWAY SuperSport United
0.54 xG 1.57
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
311 Passes 194
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kaizer Chiefs vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaizer Chiefs squeezed past SuperSport United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Kaizer Chiefs made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kaizer Chiefs had 59% of the ball to SuperSport United's 41%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.54 to 1.57 — the balance of chances actually favoured SuperSport United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SuperSport United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kaizer Chiefs and 1.17 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Kaizer Chiefs vs SuperSport United?

Kaizer Chiefs 2-1 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaizer Chiefs vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaizer Chiefs win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kaizer Chiefs 36%, draw 29%, SuperSport United 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaizer Chiefs) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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