AmaZulu 2-1 Chippa United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

AmaZulu
2-1 HT 0-1
Chippa United
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

AmaZulu vs Chippa United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.11
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
6.02
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.11 — our 43% vs market 40.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.0pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AmaZulu v Chippa United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippa United EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.08/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.48
-18% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
19.1 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8

AmaZulu vs Chippa United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AmaZulu
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Chippa United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 1.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
319 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 1-1 HT 0-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
05.03.2023 Chippa United Chippa United 0-2 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
10.09.2022 AmaZulu AmaZulu 1-2 HT 0-2 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
14.12.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 2-2 HT 0-2 Chippa United Chippa United GAFPSL
11.12.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 1-1 HT 1-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
10.03.2021 Chippa United Chippa United 0-1 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL

AmaZulu 2-1 Chippa United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AmaZulu
2-1
AWAY Chippa United
2.70 xG 1.13
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
491 Passes 170
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
33 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AmaZulu vs Chippa United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AmaZulu squeezed past Chippa United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day AmaZulu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AmaZulu had 69% of the ball to Chippa United's 31%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.70 to 1.13 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AmaZulu's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AmaZulu had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for AmaZulu and 1.00 for Chippa United.

What was the final score of AmaZulu vs Chippa United?

AmaZulu 2-1 Chippa United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AmaZulu vs Chippa United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AmaZulu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AmaZulu 40%, draw 34%, Chippa United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AmaZulu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AmaZulu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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