Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Gimhae City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
24%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
34%
Draw
28%
+6.5pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-4.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +24%
1.25/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.16
-3% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gimhae City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
15.06.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
23.09.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
27.05.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-4 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
29.10.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-2 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
04.06.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
30.06.2021 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Gimhae City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP squeezed past Gimhae City 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 0.83 for Gimhae City.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Gimhae City?

Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K3 League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Gimhae City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 41%, draw 34%, Gimhae City 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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