Ulsan Citizen 3-1 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
0.78/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.42
-30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
234 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
16.06.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 3-4 HT 2-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.09.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 1-3 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
27.05.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
02.10.2022 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 3-2 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
29.05.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
30.06.2021 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 1-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Citizen beat Busan Transportation 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Ulsan Citizen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 2.17 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Ulsan Citizen 3-1 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 39%, draw 25%, Busan Transportation 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Citizen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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