Ansan Greeners 1-0 Bucheon 1995 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 55%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.64
-22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
13.9 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Bucheon 1995
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.15 xG 1.35
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 Passes 373
68% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-1 HT 1-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
15.05.2024 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
29.08.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
15.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-2 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
18.03.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
11.09.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 3-3 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-0
AWAY Bucheon 1995
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
280 Passes 614
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Bucheon 1995
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ansan Greeners edged past Bucheon 1995 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bucheon 1995 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 35% of the ball to Bucheon 1995's 65%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.50 for Bucheon 1995.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Bucheon 1995?

Ansan Greeners 1-0 Bucheon 1995 in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Bucheon 1995?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 30%, draw 23%, Bucheon 1995 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bucheon 1995) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
26 Oct 2024
08:00 Jeonnam Dragons vs Cheonan City Analysis →
10:30 Cheongju FC vs Anyang Analysis →