Gangwon 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
11%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 27% vs market 26.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.26
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
17%
5.03
X/2
15%
6.26
X/X
11%
4.36
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
4.45
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 34%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.61/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.97
+104% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
12.8 Crosses 20.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.78 xG 1.02
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
297 Passes 464
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.08.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
22.06.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 2-3 HT 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
27.04.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
06.09.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 0-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
08.07.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 3-2 HT 2-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
05.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
1-0
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
339 Passes 472
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon squeezed past Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gangwon as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gangwon had 42% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 58%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangwon and 1.50 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Gangwon 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 41%, draw 25%, Gimcheon Sangmu 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
26 Oct 2024
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