Newcastle United U21 0-2 Manchester United U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 26 Oct 2024

Newcastle United U21
0-2 HT 0-1
Manchester United U21
📅26/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
INGPL2 – 2024/2025

Newcastle United U21 vs Manchester United U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
3.46
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
63%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.46
Over 2.5
55%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
3%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
26%
-9.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
63%
Away Win
53%
+9.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
25%
+19.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
75%
-19.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.6pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United U21 v Manchester United U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +35% / +35%
0.49/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.01/2.01
-65% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / -41%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.5 Crosses 15.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.5

Newcastle United U21 0-2 Manchester United U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
0-2
AWAY Manchester United U21
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
312 Passes 424
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs Manchester United U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United U21 beat Newcastle United U21 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester United U21 as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 45% of the ball to Manchester United U21's 55%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Newcastle United U21 0-2 Manchester United U21 in the INGPL2 on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 16%, draw 21%, Manchester United U21 63%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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