Kheybar Khorramabad 3-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
50%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
5.85
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
17%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.4pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 57%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.55
+62% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
212 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
25.02.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
28.09.2022 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRANAZ
05.03.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
31.10.2021 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad saw off Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Esteghlal Khuzestan at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kheybar Khorramabad had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kheybar Khorramabad and 0.50 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Kheybar Khorramabad 3-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kheybar Khorramabad 22%, draw 28%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 49%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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